WEBVTT 00:01.660 --> 00:06.120 Prof: What I want to do this morning is first of all 00:06.115 --> 00:10.645 begin by recapitulating a couple of points that we made last 00:10.648 --> 00:11.338 time. 00:11.340 --> 00:17.270 You'll recognize our friend here, having her blood feast, 00:17.270 --> 00:21.840 and last time we talked about the importance of malaria in 00:21.836 --> 00:26.406 human history for a little bit, from ancient times to the 00:26.413 --> 00:30.583 contemporary world, and we tried to suggest that 00:30.580 --> 00:35.520 malaria continues to impose an extraordinary burden of 00:35.522 --> 00:40.782 suffering and death, along with those consequences 00:40.780 --> 00:44.530 that follow in its train: poverty, 00:44.530 --> 00:49.090 low productivity, illiteracy, a low level of 00:49.091 --> 00:52.981 political, social and education 00:52.978 --> 00:54.858 participation. 00:54.860 --> 00:57.490 We also talked, as you'll remember, 00:57.494 --> 01:01.684 about the transmission of the disease, with the complex 01:01.677 --> 01:06.247 lifecycle of plasmodia and Anopheles mosquitoes. 01:06.250 --> 01:11.120 We talked about the effect of the disease on the human body of 01:11.123 --> 01:15.363 the patient and symptoms that result from malaria, 01:15.360 --> 01:20.150 and we tried to deal also with the great years of discovery at 01:20.153 --> 01:24.103 the end of the 1890s, between 1898 and 1901, 01:24.099 --> 01:28.969 when the great mysteries of this disease were largely 01:28.965 --> 01:32.425 unraveled in two different places. 01:32.430 --> 01:35.800 First in India, with the collaboration of 01:35.797 --> 01:40.957 Ronald Ross and Patrick Manson, they demonstrated the mosquito 01:40.961 --> 01:45.181 transmission of malaria with regard to avian malaria-- 01:45.180 --> 01:47.560 that is, among birds. 01:47.560 --> 01:52.440 And then the other place, even more importantly, 01:52.440 --> 01:56.240 was Italy, where Giovanni Battista Grassi and other 01:56.239 --> 02:00.189 scientists of what was called the Italian School, 02:00.188 --> 02:04.578 or the Rome School, proved the mosquito theory of 02:04.575 --> 02:07.495 transmission for human beings. 02:07.500 --> 02:12.680 I hope that in that discussion, it was apparent to all of you 02:12.675 --> 02:18.105 that malaria is by far the most complex of all the diseases that 02:18.110 --> 02:23.510 we've studied, or will study, in our course. 02:23.508 --> 02:28.618 And that point is important and underlies the fact that we spent 02:28.616 --> 02:33.476 a lot of time talking about the complexity of the disease. 02:33.479 --> 02:37.919 It's important because it helps us to understand a great deal of 02:37.922 --> 02:38.912 the history. 02:38.910 --> 02:43.720 One point is that if we understand that, 02:43.720 --> 02:48.570 we're in a position to understand also why research on 02:48.571 --> 02:54.061 malaria generated such intense intellectual excitement in the 02:54.063 --> 02:54.983 1890s. 02:54.979 --> 02:59.769 It was then that malariology because the centerpiece for the 02:59.772 --> 03:03.512 new medical discipline of tropical medicine. 03:03.508 --> 03:08.828 Here was one of the world's oldest and most important public 03:08.829 --> 03:12.799 health problems, and suddenly it was yielding 03:12.796 --> 03:14.236 its secrets. 03:14.240 --> 03:18.810 There was a tremendous excitement intellectually, 03:18.805 --> 03:23.745 and malariology attracted some of the world's leading 03:23.750 --> 03:27.840 scientists and public health officials. 03:27.840 --> 03:33.100 We also wanted to talk about the complexity of malaria, 03:33.098 --> 03:38.558 because a second reason is that it helps us to understand why 03:38.563 --> 03:43.483 the public health strategies that we've examined so far 03:43.483 --> 03:47.403 haven't worked in dealing with malaria. 03:47.400 --> 03:49.390 If we think, for example, 03:49.389 --> 03:54.529 what are the main public health strategies that we've discussed 03:54.532 --> 03:57.522 so far--one was plague measures. 03:57.520 --> 04:02.040 You know the drill by now: sanitary cordons, 04:02.040 --> 04:04.670 quarantines, isolation. 04:04.669 --> 04:08.289 These, however, prove to be powerless against a 04:08.294 --> 04:12.794 disease that's borne by vectors as efficient and mobile as 04:12.787 --> 04:15.307 Anopheles mosquitoes. 04:15.310 --> 04:20.770 In high malarial endemicity areas, mosquitoes are infinitely 04:20.766 --> 04:23.816 numerous and infinitely mobile. 04:23.819 --> 04:27.559 Plague measures would be no help at all. 04:27.560 --> 04:32.450 We can understand also why another form of public health 04:32.446 --> 04:33.686 was useless. 04:33.690 --> 04:36.820 The sanitary movement was irrelevant. 04:36.819 --> 04:39.769 Malaria is not like cholera. 04:39.769 --> 04:46.049 It's not a disease of filth or the bacteria that thrive in it. 04:46.050 --> 04:50.850 Places that are immaculately clean can be lethally infested 04:50.848 --> 04:55.068 with mosquitoes and the plasmodia that they bear. 04:55.069 --> 04:58.789 Furthermore, malaria is a disease of rural 04:58.788 --> 05:02.418 areas, primarily, and urban cleanups were 05:02.415 --> 05:06.855 therefore largely irrelevant in combating it. 05:06.860 --> 05:11.770 So, a second strategy of public health that we've confronted so 05:11.769 --> 05:15.649 far was powerless in dealing with this disease. 05:15.649 --> 05:20.239 Another public health strategy that we've examined was the 05:20.242 --> 05:24.492 strategy of vaccination, and we've seen that pioneered 05:24.492 --> 05:28.322 by Edward Jenner, and developed much more by 05:28.315 --> 05:29.735 Louis Pasteur. 05:29.740 --> 05:34.420 And this too, thus far, has proved unavailing 05:34.420 --> 05:37.080 with regard to malaria. 05:37.079 --> 05:40.979 Let's think for a moment about vaccines, 05:40.980 --> 05:44.620 and I'd like to argue that they're effective primarily 05:44.624 --> 05:49.014 under certain conditions, that they aren't universal 05:49.007 --> 05:51.557 panaceas for all diseases. 05:51.560 --> 05:55.200 They're helpful primarily, first of all, 05:55.197 --> 06:00.887 in combating diseases against which the body develops a robust 06:00.887 --> 06:02.937 acquired immunity. 06:02.939 --> 06:06.839 Smallpox is a perfect example. 06:06.838 --> 06:11.728 A patient who has once suffered from smallpox, 06:11.733 --> 06:16.953 but then recovers, is then immune for the rest of 06:16.954 --> 06:19.134 his or her life. 06:19.129 --> 06:24.289 And, so, the strategy for vaccination is to produce 06:24.293 --> 06:29.973 artificially the same effective immune response that was 06:29.973 --> 06:35.243 generated by the naturally occurring infection. 06:35.240 --> 06:40.350 The strategy then is to reproduce what nature does on 06:40.346 --> 06:41.326 her own. 06:41.329 --> 06:46.499 But in malaria, the immune response of the body 06:46.497 --> 06:50.197 is limited, and it takes multiple 06:50.202 --> 06:55.692 infections and recovery there from to acquire a partial 06:55.689 --> 06:59.479 immunity, and that immunity even then is 06:59.478 --> 07:00.548 short-lived. 07:00.550 --> 07:02.470 It's partial and short-lived. 07:02.470 --> 07:07.660 If you have painfully acquired an immunity from malaria and 07:07.661 --> 07:11.691 then you move away from the malarial area, 07:11.689 --> 07:17.409 in a couple of years your immunity fades away, 07:17.410 --> 07:21.900 and if you return to the malaria area you're susceptible 07:21.901 --> 07:23.291 all over again. 07:23.290 --> 07:28.720 So, this is one factor that makes vaccine development so 07:28.723 --> 07:30.603 very complicated. 07:30.600 --> 07:36.430 Another point about vaccine development is that vaccines 07:36.434 --> 07:42.164 haven't so far been developed against a pathogen with a 07:42.161 --> 07:47.361 lifecycle as complex as that of a plasmodium. 07:47.360 --> 07:53.430 In targeting a virus or bacterium, a vaccine is always 07:53.425 --> 07:59.715 dealing quite simply with the virus or the bacterium. 07:59.720 --> 08:03.430 But the point about studying about--one of the points about 08:03.427 --> 08:07.257 investigating the lifecycle of the plasmodium is that they're 08:07.264 --> 08:08.164 different. 08:08.160 --> 08:13.520 They go through a series of complicated life stages. 08:13.519 --> 08:16.749 Sometimes they're sporozoites. 08:16.750 --> 08:19.000 Sometimes they're merozoites. 08:19.000 --> 08:22.180 Sometimes they're gametocytes. 08:22.180 --> 08:27.260 And the problem with a vaccine is that in order to be viable, 08:27.259 --> 08:31.999 it has to be effective against all of those phases in the 08:32.000 --> 08:34.710 lifecycle of the plasmodium. 08:34.710 --> 08:40.770 And then also another feature, as I said, is that malaria is 08:40.774 --> 08:43.144 not a single disease. 08:43.139 --> 08:47.759 It's a family of four different parasitic diseases, 08:47.759 --> 08:51.209 and the vaccine has to be effective against not simply 08:51.212 --> 08:54.912 one, but against numerous, 08:54.914 --> 08:59.864 therefore, species of parasite. 08:59.860 --> 09:05.180 Now, I don't want to argue that therefore the development of a 09:05.179 --> 09:08.669 vaccine against malaria is impossible. 09:08.668 --> 09:12.468 In fact, as we're speaking, scientists are hard at work 09:12.470 --> 09:15.570 trying to develop such a vaccine, and indeed, 09:15.567 --> 09:17.747 they have come up with one. 09:17.750 --> 09:22.460 You read some rather silly things in the press. 09:22.460 --> 09:28.150 The vaccine developers came up with a vaccine in the last few 09:28.153 --> 09:32.523 years that's about thirty-percent effective. 09:32.519 --> 09:36.459 I remember reading in places like the New York Times 09:36.455 --> 09:40.585 that malaria would therefore be eradicated globally in five to 09:40.594 --> 09:41.684 seven years. 09:41.678 --> 09:44.588 This is a sort of rather silly prediction, 09:44.590 --> 09:47.680 and even the people--I know because I've talked to them-- 09:47.678 --> 09:52.488 who are developing the vaccine have no such illusion about its 09:52.491 --> 09:53.361 efficacy. 09:53.360 --> 09:56.930 They're thrilled because it's thirty-percent effective, 09:56.934 --> 10:00.714 but that means that it's seventy-percent not effective. 10:00.710 --> 10:05.080 Well, in order to understand the evolution of public health 10:05.077 --> 10:09.447 strategies against malaria and the problem facing the world 10:09.447 --> 10:12.457 today in dealing with this disease, 10:12.460 --> 10:17.350 then we need to know that the very complexity of malaria has 10:17.352 --> 10:22.332 led to a wide array of different strategies to combat it, 10:22.330 --> 10:28.320 as well as to an ongoing debate on which course is likely to be 10:28.317 --> 10:29.957 most effective. 10:29.960 --> 10:34.490 And as yet there's no consensus in the international health 10:34.490 --> 10:38.630 community on the best and most effective strategy, 10:38.629 --> 10:42.179 despite the fact that since the turn of the twentieth century, 10:42.178 --> 10:45.008 at the least, malaria is a disease, 10:45.009 --> 10:48.539 paradoxically, that has such extraordinary 10:48.539 --> 10:51.639 ravages on the global population, 10:51.639 --> 10:56.759 and yet, paradoxically, it's a disease that's both 10:56.761 --> 10:59.691 treatable and preventable. 10:59.690 --> 11:03.440 There is an amazing paradox. 11:03.440 --> 11:06.730 This morning, then, I want to talk about not 11:06.730 --> 11:09.740 the effects, the nature of the plasmodium, 11:09.739 --> 11:14.719 the nature of mosquitoes, the lifecycle or symptomatology 11:14.716 --> 11:18.476 of malaria, but I'd like to look instead at 11:18.475 --> 11:22.025 the disease from the societal point of view, 11:22.028 --> 11:27.428 and in particular on efforts to development a successful 11:27.432 --> 11:29.792 antimalarial strategy. 11:29.788 --> 11:34.448 But developing a strategy or thinking about the proper 11:34.452 --> 11:39.472 strategy against malaria is easier if we think of a number 11:39.466 --> 11:44.566 of ways in which this disease might be characterized, 11:44.570 --> 11:49.360 the ways in which it has been seen by leading scientists, 11:49.360 --> 11:53.760 physician, and public health officials who've dealt with it. 11:53.759 --> 11:57.949 So, I'm wondering if we could think of malaria--we might ask a 11:57.950 --> 12:00.080 number of questions about it. 12:00.080 --> 12:05.460 How should we describe this disease? 12:05.460 --> 12:11.570 Is it a disease of poverty, and what's the evidence for 12:11.567 --> 12:12.357 that? 12:12.360 --> 12:16.030 That would entail dealing with--and in a particular way 12:16.033 --> 12:18.893 that might be different from other ways. 12:18.889 --> 12:24.129 One of the leading world malariologists in the early 12:24.134 --> 12:29.794 twentieth century defined malaria as a house disease. 12:29.788 --> 12:33.238 In other words, it's primarily defined by poor 12:33.241 --> 12:37.611 housing conditions in which people are crowded in order to 12:37.614 --> 12:40.534 work in agricultural occupations, 12:40.529 --> 12:45.029 and those houses are porous to insects, 12:45.029 --> 12:47.559 and it's in the house that the disease is transmitted, 12:47.558 --> 12:52.478 and both mosquitoes and human beings are infected. 12:52.480 --> 12:58.060 Or should we see it instead as an occupational disease? 12:58.058 --> 13:02.708 We've talked about the relationship of malaria to 13:02.706 --> 13:06.586 agriculture, and it's quite clear that 13:06.587 --> 13:12.317 certain forms of agricultural production create and generate 13:12.320 --> 13:16.400 high risk for those who practice them, 13:16.399 --> 13:21.139 and malaria is contracted overwhelmingly by people who 13:21.142 --> 13:24.902 work in fields under certain conditions. 13:24.899 --> 13:28.219 Another way of thinking about it is, 13:28.220 --> 13:31.470 in that case, one way of attacking a malaria 13:31.465 --> 13:35.765 then would be to have occupation improve the conditions of 13:35.768 --> 13:37.778 farming, of agriculture, 13:37.783 --> 13:41.093 to regulate rice fields and all the rest of it. 13:41.090 --> 13:45.230 That would be what you would do, perhaps, if you define it as 13:45.226 --> 13:47.016 an occupational disease. 13:47.019 --> 13:51.359 Should we think of it instead as an environmental disease, 13:51.364 --> 13:55.634 that it's a disease that flourishes where the environment 13:55.633 --> 13:57.313 has been degraded? 13:57.308 --> 13:59.458 Where there's been deforestation, 13:59.458 --> 14:00.398 for example. 14:00.399 --> 14:07.819 Where the hydrology of rivers has been undermined. 14:07.820 --> 14:12.310 Where there's flooding of places where there are swamps 14:12.309 --> 14:14.139 and impounded water. 14:14.139 --> 14:16.449 In that case, the way of dealing with 14:16.452 --> 14:18.142 malaria, you might think, 14:18.139 --> 14:21.189 might be to have land drainage, reclamation, 14:21.190 --> 14:26.240 environmental sanitation-- quite a different strategy for 14:26.235 --> 14:28.595 dealing with the disease. 14:28.600 --> 14:32.340 What should we call this particular disease? 14:32.340 --> 14:38.660 Is it an endemic disease, or is it an epidemic disease? 14:38.658 --> 14:42.958 And here I think that malaria is one of those diseases that 14:42.961 --> 14:46.821 we're studying in our course that's actually both. 14:46.820 --> 14:52.880 That is to say, in a particular locality, 14:52.884 --> 14:56.984 it is an endemic disease. 14:56.980 --> 14:59.800 For example, if you were to go to the 14:59.799 --> 15:04.499 tropical areas of Africa today, malaria is present throughout 15:04.500 --> 15:05.520 the year. 15:05.519 --> 15:09.849 It's highly, even hyper endemic. 15:09.850 --> 15:16.380 But it's also capable of being an epidemic disease. 15:16.379 --> 15:18.179 First of all, that's easiest to see, 15:18.178 --> 15:22.448 perhaps, it temperate zones where malaria has also been 15:22.451 --> 15:26.141 prevalent, because then it's seasonal and 15:26.144 --> 15:29.614 you have the winter when the disease-- 15:29.610 --> 15:33.020 it's too cold for the plasmodium to be transmitted, 15:33.019 --> 15:36.119 but you have an annual summer epidemic. 15:36.120 --> 15:39.120 But in addition, under certain conditions we 15:39.120 --> 15:43.310 would say that the epidemic is intensified in conditions, 15:43.308 --> 15:47.358 for example, of years of exceptionally heavy 15:47.363 --> 15:48.403 rainfall. 15:48.399 --> 15:53.519 Or, say, in tropical Africa, it becomes an epidemic disease 15:53.518 --> 15:57.488 when something happens to the environment, 15:57.490 --> 16:02.620 where there are complex emergencies or famines that 16:02.620 --> 16:06.830 cause people to move in large numbers-- 16:06.830 --> 16:12.620 who lack immunity to move to areas where the disease is 16:12.621 --> 16:13.911 prevalent. 16:13.908 --> 16:18.778 So, malaria can cause extraordinarily intense 16:18.784 --> 16:24.774 epidemics against a background of being also an endemic 16:24.769 --> 16:26.099 disease. 16:26.100 --> 16:30.250 I would like to argue, and I will be arguing that part 16:30.245 --> 16:33.995 of the complexity of malaria-- and if I were asked the 16:34.004 --> 16:36.954 question--although you may want to disagree with me, 16:36.950 --> 16:40.410 because people are still arguing about how one defines a 16:40.413 --> 16:42.683 malaria and how one deals with it. 16:42.678 --> 16:46.938 But I'd like to suggest that perhaps it's all of those. 16:46.940 --> 16:48.930 It's a disease of poverty. 16:48.928 --> 16:52.518 This is part of its complexity, its biological, 16:52.523 --> 16:55.573 social, and environmental complexity. 16:55.570 --> 16:57.760 It is a disease of poverty. 16:57.759 --> 17:00.139 It's also a house disease. 17:00.139 --> 17:02.309 It's an occupational disease. 17:02.309 --> 17:04.099 It's an environmental disease. 17:04.099 --> 17:05.609 It's an endemic disease. 17:05.608 --> 17:09.078 And it's an epidemic disease as well. 17:09.078 --> 17:14.888 Well, what are the kinds of strategies that have been 17:14.894 --> 17:19.484 deployed against this dreadful disease? 17:19.480 --> 17:25.840 One was since we now know that it's transmitted by vectors, 17:25.838 --> 17:29.268 Ronald Ross, who was one of the people who 17:29.272 --> 17:35.412 won the Nobel Prize, in fact for establishing that 17:35.407 --> 17:39.787 very idea, developed very question the 17:39.787 --> 17:45.647 idea then if it's a disease that's transmitted by vectors, 17:45.650 --> 17:49.960 perhaps the right course for dealing with malaria is vector 17:49.964 --> 17:50.714 control. 17:50.710 --> 17:54.470 Kill mosquitoes by insecticides, 17:54.469 --> 18:00.289 or remove their breeding grounds by environmental 18:00.288 --> 18:05.118 sanitation, by dealing with an unregulated 18:05.122 --> 18:09.982 hydrology of an area, by land drainage, 18:09.978 --> 18:14.478 by removing uncovered water. 18:14.480 --> 18:20.250 A different strategy would be to deal with not the mosquito 18:20.251 --> 18:22.841 but with the plasmodium. 18:22.838 --> 18:26.678 And so there have been--and here I've talked about the 18:26.679 --> 18:32.829 Italian School of malariology, and Giovanni Battista Grassi 18:32.833 --> 18:41.163 had the idea that you would be able to eradicate malaria by the 18:41.164 --> 18:47.574 use of antiplasmodial-- that is, quinine--one the first 18:47.566 --> 18:49.906 effective magic bullets. 18:49.910 --> 18:55.240 He thought the idea was that if we know what causes malaria and 18:55.244 --> 18:58.864 there is an effective treatment for it, 18:58.858 --> 19:02.068 if you can use it prophylactically to prevent 19:02.073 --> 19:06.023 people from being infected for a number of seasons in a 19:06.016 --> 19:10.596 particular geographical area, or if you can destroy the 19:10.604 --> 19:15.324 plasmodia in the bloodstreams of all of the sufferers, 19:15.318 --> 19:20.558 then you can prevent mosquitoes from being infected for the 19:20.563 --> 19:22.103 following year. 19:22.098 --> 19:27.048 And if you do that for several seasons, then you could break 19:27.047 --> 19:31.237 the cycle of transmission and eradicate malaria. 19:31.240 --> 19:35.990 Both of the people who discovered the mosquito theory 19:35.987 --> 19:41.097 of transmission very quickly came to the idea of malarial 19:41.098 --> 19:42.558 eradication. 19:42.558 --> 19:47.088 Ross did so, and Grassi immediately thought 19:47.086 --> 19:50.856 that malaria had what he called-- 19:50.858 --> 19:55.088 it was the "colossus with feet of clay"-- 19:55.088 --> 20:00.568 and that quinine would be the instrument that would enable the 20:00.565 --> 20:02.715 world to eradicate it. 20:02.720 --> 20:06.310 But if you think of it as a disease of poverty, 20:06.308 --> 20:11.638 you might think instead--and a disease of housing, 20:11.640 --> 20:16.360 and an occupation disease--then you might think of a different 20:16.356 --> 20:20.746 strategy of social uplift, that what you need to do to 20:20.750 --> 20:25.530 deal with malaria is to practice social medicine to deal with 20:25.534 --> 20:30.474 poor diet, poor wages, child labor--those 20:30.471 --> 20:38.121 whole series of complex factors that create the substratum in 20:38.115 --> 20:41.295 which malaria thrives. 20:41.298 --> 20:46.368 And then there is another strategy which is quite commonly 20:46.373 --> 20:47.533 thought of. 20:47.529 --> 20:52.019 It has not made much progress, at least to date, 20:52.019 --> 20:55.709 though who knows, maybe it will in the future, 20:55.710 --> 21:00.040 and that's the Jenner/Pasteurian strategy of 21:00.040 --> 21:05.480 hoping to develop an effective antimalarial vaccine. 21:05.480 --> 21:10.070 So vaccine development is one of the great hopes in the 21:10.066 --> 21:15.316 antimalarial struggle, and enormous amounts of 21:15.316 --> 21:23.876 resources are being invested in antimalarial vaccine development 21:23.880 --> 21:25.920 as we speak. 21:25.920 --> 21:29.870 Well, I want to give an example of a particular place. 21:29.868 --> 21:33.478 It's the one you're reading about this week, 21:33.476 --> 21:38.336 which was the impact of malaria on a particular country. 21:38.338 --> 21:42.538 And I've chosen Italy for particular reasons. 21:42.538 --> 21:47.988 One is that Italy had a special relationship to malaria. 21:47.990 --> 21:53.790 It was the only Western European country where it wasn't 21:53.788 --> 21:58.638 a colonial issue, but rather the most important 21:58.638 --> 22:02.328 domestic public health problem. 22:02.328 --> 22:09.518 It was also the international center of malariology from about 22:09.515 --> 22:13.515 1900 until the Second World War. 22:13.519 --> 22:16.839 In other words, we've talked about the hegemony 22:16.836 --> 22:21.016 of powers in international medicine in the early nineteenth 22:21.017 --> 22:24.907 century down the middle of the nineteenth century. 22:24.910 --> 22:30.750 In the smaller domain of malariology, Italy was the 22:30.752 --> 22:36.832 center of the action from 1900 until World War II. 22:36.828 --> 22:41.798 This is the place where people went to be trained in 22:41.804 --> 22:43.174 malariology. 22:43.170 --> 22:47.360 People traveled--physicians from all over the world-- 22:47.358 --> 22:52.198 to study with those people who were called the Rome School, 22:52.200 --> 22:55.180 or the Italian School of malariology-- 22:55.180 --> 22:58.320 Giovanni Battista Grassi most prominent. 22:58.318 --> 23:01.378 But other names were extremely prominent also, 23:01.378 --> 23:04.298 like Angelo Celli, and we could list a whole 23:04.301 --> 23:05.731 series of others. 23:05.730 --> 23:10.840 And it was Italians primarily who were responsible for 23:10.836 --> 23:14.496 unraveling the mysteries of malaria. 23:14.500 --> 23:17.910 And finally, Italy was a place that did 23:17.909 --> 23:20.779 something quite extraordinary. 23:20.778 --> 23:27.748 It was the first place to have a successful strategy of 23:27.746 --> 23:31.226 antimalarial campaigning. 23:31.230 --> 23:36.360 In other words, a campaign began in 1900 and 23:36.362 --> 23:42.332 was successful in a eradicating malaria by 1962. 23:42.328 --> 23:48.898 The last indigenous case of malaria in Italy was in Sicily 23:48.896 --> 23:50.046 in 1962. 23:50.048 --> 23:53.348 So, this means that Italy has lessons, 23:53.348 --> 23:58.028 and there are not many places where there have been campaigns 23:58.028 --> 24:01.998 that have succeeded intentionally in eradicating the 24:02.003 --> 24:02.943 disease. 24:02.940 --> 24:09.180 This leads to a message of hope--what can be accomplished 24:09.178 --> 24:12.898 by doing it, and it also means that I think 24:12.901 --> 24:17.141 it's useful to look at the this successful campaign in order to 24:17.140 --> 24:21.240 draw lessons from it, but to beware also of the 24:21.243 --> 24:25.293 misuse of history, because a lot of what I think 24:25.289 --> 24:29.109 are the wrong lessons have also been drawn from it. 24:29.108 --> 24:32.088 Well, in any case, let's look just very, 24:32.093 --> 24:35.233 very quickly at the Italian experience. 24:35.230 --> 24:37.790 As you know, Italy was united in the middle 24:37.785 --> 24:41.985 of the nineteenth century, and by the 1880s the new 24:41.994 --> 24:48.014 liberal regime became aware of the prevalence of the disease 24:48.008 --> 24:52.568 throughout the country, and this is the map that 24:52.565 --> 24:56.925 was--it's not the best map artistically or even in terms of 24:56.926 --> 25:00.466 clarity, or I would even say in terms of 25:00.468 --> 25:02.918 accuracy; and, so, you're wondering why 25:02.924 --> 25:06.034 do I show you this map of malaria in Italy when there are 25:06.026 --> 25:09.566 actually better maps that are more colorful and all the rest? 25:09.568 --> 25:13.168 But for historians, this is the important one, 25:13.170 --> 25:17.900 because this is the one that shook Italians up and convinced 25:17.900 --> 25:22.310 them of the enormity of the problem in their country. 25:22.308 --> 25:26.128 One of the things that's quite clear, even in looking at this 25:26.126 --> 25:29.686 map, is that malaria was present everywhere virtually. 25:29.690 --> 25:33.150 There are areas that are yellow, pink, 25:33.153 --> 25:38.493 and red of prominence or extreme prominence of malaria. 25:38.490 --> 25:43.430 And it was the case also that after unification, 25:43.430 --> 25:46.490 instead of the problem--unification seen as a 25:46.489 --> 25:50.449 foundational moment for this new regime that's supposed to 25:50.452 --> 25:53.872 deliver civilization, economic betterment, 25:53.869 --> 25:56.689 progress, and also public health-- 25:56.690 --> 26:00.100 but instead, the years at the end of the 26:00.104 --> 26:04.224 nineteenth century see the malarial problem, 26:04.220 --> 26:07.710 already intense, getting worse. 26:07.710 --> 26:12.820 Worse because of things like deforestation of the Apennines. 26:12.818 --> 26:18.578 The railroad era actually had a devastating impact, 26:18.578 --> 26:22.668 because it led to the demand for trees to make the railroad 26:22.673 --> 26:25.643 ties and the stations and all the rest, 26:25.640 --> 26:30.660 and therefore led to massive deforestation and deregulation 26:30.660 --> 26:34.470 of the hydrology of the entire peninsula, 26:34.470 --> 26:37.880 which was turned topsy-turvy. 26:37.880 --> 26:44.040 It was also a time then of economic difficulties and 26:44.035 --> 26:49.465 crises, and malaria feeds on human misfortune, 26:49.465 --> 26:55.375 and it did so in the late nineteenth century. 26:55.380 --> 26:58.120 Well, in any case, Italy also provided-- 26:58.118 --> 27:01.178 we've talked about malaria as a housing disease-- 27:01.180 --> 27:05.800 I thought I'd just show you a representative type of peasant 27:05.798 --> 27:09.638 housing, even down through the 1930s and 27:09.644 --> 27:11.934 '40s, and when you live in places 27:11.925 --> 27:13.945 like this, in a malarial area, 27:13.948 --> 27:17.458 you're highly vulnerable because this is almost like 27:17.460 --> 27:18.700 being outdoors. 27:18.700 --> 27:22.130 In fact, it's probably worse in terms of mosquitoes. 27:22.130 --> 27:27.150 It's entirely vulnerable and open to flying insects, 27:27.150 --> 27:31.510 and having numerous people sleeping in conditions like this 27:31.505 --> 27:35.105 helps to promote the disease and transmission. 27:35.108 --> 27:40.508 Similarly, we talked about it being an occupational disease. 27:40.509 --> 27:45.239 It wasn't by chance that Italy is also a place of rice fields, 27:45.240 --> 27:49.590 and rice fields are actually wonderful places for mosquitoes, 27:49.588 --> 27:53.498 and the rice workers were among those people who were most 27:53.499 --> 27:57.609 vulnerable, and became symbolic as the 27:57.608 --> 28:00.758 victims of the plasmodia. 28:00.759 --> 28:05.239 So, in any case then, there was an epidemic and 28:05.242 --> 28:08.072 endemic condition in Italy. 28:08.068 --> 28:12.708 And Italy showed all of those terrible consequences of malaria 28:12.712 --> 28:17.282 that we've been talking about: absenteeism in agriculture; 28:17.278 --> 28:22.098 waste--whole areas that weren't cultivated because they were so 28:22.095 --> 28:26.905 dangerous, and those who did work on them sickened and died; 28:26.910 --> 28:31.440 an area of low productivity, of illiteracy; 28:31.440 --> 28:34.620 the underdevelopment of civil society; 28:34.619 --> 28:39.509 low participation in politics; mass emigration. 28:39.509 --> 28:43.159 And I would argue indeed that one of the features of Italy is 28:43.162 --> 28:45.782 that we've talked about North and South, 28:45.779 --> 28:50.359 and I talked about agriculture being a determinant of malaria, 28:50.358 --> 28:54.938 and that the global North had advanced forms of agriculture 28:54.941 --> 28:58.971 that were intensive and not conducive to malaria; 28:58.970 --> 29:01.710 and the South, the global South, 29:01.710 --> 29:03.390 had the opposite. 29:03.390 --> 29:09.160 Well, this was reproduced in a microcosm in Italy in that the 29:09.163 --> 29:14.363 North of Italy was much less vulnerable to malaria, 29:14.358 --> 29:19.458 and the form of malaria was the milder vivax malaria, 29:19.460 --> 29:24.210 while the South of Italy was riddled with malaria, 29:24.210 --> 29:28.220 and it was malaria that predominantly falciparum; 29:28.220 --> 29:34.040 that is, the most devastating and lethal form of the disease. 29:34.038 --> 29:41.728 Well, there was a time of great scientific discoveries that 29:41.726 --> 29:44.506 we've talked about. 29:44.509 --> 29:47.889 Oh, this is a famous picture, just to show you. 29:47.890 --> 29:51.010 This is a painting called "Malaria," 29:51.010 --> 29:53.220 and as you see, it's sort of like a 29:53.220 --> 29:56.140 piet�, or a deposition from the cross, 29:56.138 --> 29:59.188 and I think it conveys, in a moving, 29:59.192 --> 30:04.072 emotional way, the reaction of a society to 30:04.067 --> 30:07.897 intense malarial transmission. 30:07.900 --> 30:12.980 This is the prime minister at the turn of the century until 30:12.978 --> 30:17.088 the First World War, under whom the antimalarial 30:17.093 --> 30:19.373 campaign gets started. 30:19.368 --> 30:22.068 And this is Giovanni Battista Grassi-- 30:22.068 --> 30:25.968 I tried to show him last time--who was the person who 30:25.971 --> 30:30.101 proves the mosquito transmission among human beings, 30:30.098 --> 30:35.068 the leading representative of the Rome School of malariology, 30:35.068 --> 30:38.838 and his work was--we've talked about institutions-- 30:38.838 --> 30:41.408 this is the Santo Spirito Hospital, 30:41.410 --> 30:44.800 where he conducted his research, because there were an 30:44.800 --> 30:47.660 enormous, almost unending supply, 30:47.664 --> 30:49.674 of malarial patients. 30:49.670 --> 30:53.750 And it was here that he first successfully infected human 30:53.753 --> 30:57.113 beings with malaria with a number of scientific 30:57.108 --> 31:00.078 experiments, that you might consider 31:00.076 --> 31:03.076 ethically problematic, but in any case, 31:03.076 --> 31:07.186 there weren't rules about such things at the turn of the 31:07.189 --> 31:08.759 twentieth century. 31:08.759 --> 31:13.769 Well, the pillars of the eradication program--the pillar 31:13.771 --> 31:17.601 of it was initially going to be quinine. 31:17.598 --> 31:23.158 And so Italy passed a series of quinine laws from 1900 to 1907, 31:23.156 --> 31:27.366 with support from the liberal prime minister. 31:27.368 --> 31:31.078 And the idea was that you could kill the plasmodia, 31:31.077 --> 31:33.377 break the cycle of transmission, 31:33.375 --> 31:35.595 and eradicate the disease. 31:35.598 --> 31:39.278 Grassi thought it would be merely a matter of a few years. 31:39.279 --> 31:45.409 In fact, it then turned out to be impossible to eradicate the 31:45.405 --> 31:51.325 disease so easily that people were not used to contact with 31:51.327 --> 31:52.857 physicians. 31:52.858 --> 31:56.258 There wasn't access, in other words, 31:56.259 --> 31:58.009 to medical care. 31:58.009 --> 32:01.529 Distributing quinine was tremendously problematic. 32:01.528 --> 32:05.848 It also has to be followed according to a very complex 32:05.852 --> 32:08.552 regimen, and it has to be followed for 32:08.549 --> 32:11.719 months at a time, and you can't get people to do 32:11.720 --> 32:14.440 that unless they understand the disease. 32:14.440 --> 32:18.790 And, so, actually to have an effective antimalarial program, 32:18.788 --> 32:22.948 turned out you have also to deal with poverty and with 32:22.950 --> 32:26.570 illiteracy, which are the allies of the 32:26.573 --> 32:28.913 mosquito and of malaria. 32:28.910 --> 32:33.910 And so it was important to teach people the discipline of 32:33.913 --> 32:38.033 quinine and the reasons for it so very quickly, 32:38.025 --> 32:41.685 and also health access was important. 32:41.690 --> 32:47.720 And, so, new parts of the program turned out to be rural 32:47.723 --> 32:49.703 health stations. 32:49.700 --> 32:55.620 It's expanding now beyond quinine to include rural health 32:55.619 --> 32:59.849 stations, education and rural schools. 32:59.848 --> 33:03.538 In other words, a whole panoply of things that 33:03.535 --> 33:07.625 we might call social medicine, improved housing. 33:07.630 --> 33:12.190 Actually, Celli argues that trade unions were a powerful 33:12.189 --> 33:17.329 antimalarial tool because they helped deliver better wages, 33:17.328 --> 33:20.098 and with that, better diet and better 33:20.096 --> 33:23.206 clothing, and child labor laws--and we 33:23.211 --> 33:27.051 know that children are particularly susceptible to 33:27.049 --> 33:29.469 malaria-- and the regulation of 33:29.471 --> 33:32.791 occupations that were particularly dangerous, 33:32.789 --> 33:36.119 such as working in rice fields. 33:36.118 --> 33:38.168 Well, the results of the liberal program, 33:38.170 --> 33:43.260 which has expanded well beyond distributing quinine-- 33:43.259 --> 33:46.609 in other words, it starts with the vision of a 33:46.611 --> 33:50.781 magic bullet and moves very quickly to a whole panoply of 33:50.782 --> 33:53.862 things that we might, for shorthand, 33:53.862 --> 33:57.782 call social uplift, with having to do with access 33:57.778 --> 34:00.968 to medical care, improved housing, 34:00.969 --> 34:03.629 civil liberties, education, 34:03.630 --> 34:07.050 and all of those sorts of measures. 34:07.048 --> 34:09.058 The results of the liberal program, 34:09.059 --> 34:12.939 by the eve of the First World War, were a massive decline in 34:12.943 --> 34:16.343 mortality, at least, but still the 34:16.338 --> 34:19.428 persistence of the disease. 34:19.429 --> 34:24.029 And then comes World War I, which was an extraordinary 34:24.030 --> 34:25.940 setback for malaria. 34:25.940 --> 34:31.010 And I've talked about the way that malaria is a disease that 34:31.007 --> 34:37.087 thrives on human misfortune, and there is no misfortune that 34:37.088 --> 34:40.618 is better for malaria than war. 34:40.619 --> 34:46.049 I thought I would show you a few paintings of the First World 34:46.045 --> 34:51.105 War to show you the kinds of conditions that led in Italy 34:51.110 --> 34:55.170 that destroyed, almost, the first fifteen, 34:55.172 --> 34:58.642 sixteen years of antimalarial efforts, 34:58.639 --> 35:04.099 and created this huge explosion of epidemic malaria during the 35:04.099 --> 35:05.709 First World War. 35:05.710 --> 35:10.690 And this is a famous painter--Sartorio is his name-- 35:10.690 --> 35:13.750 who was a combatant in the First World War, 35:13.750 --> 35:17.980 but then was wounded, and returned to the front as a 35:17.978 --> 35:21.328 painter-- rather, as a photographer--and 35:21.331 --> 35:25.571 he took photographs of the conditions at the fighting 35:25.565 --> 35:28.925 front, and then he did paintings from 35:28.932 --> 35:30.382 his photographs. 35:30.380 --> 35:33.550 And these are some of the most impressive, I think, 35:33.547 --> 35:36.397 moving pictures of the sorts of conditions. 35:36.400 --> 35:40.350 You can see exactly how mosquitoes would thrive in 35:40.351 --> 35:42.451 conditions of this sort. 35:42.449 --> 35:44.679 This is not dead soldiers. 35:44.679 --> 35:48.069 These are soldiers bivouacking after a battle, 35:48.070 --> 35:51.860 and I think you can imagine them being from non-malarial 35:51.864 --> 35:56.564 areas and not having resistance, and you can see that they are a 35:56.563 --> 36:00.253 wonderful feast for Anopheles mosquitoes, 36:00.250 --> 36:04.160 and the soldiers from non-malarial areas fell sick and 36:04.161 --> 36:06.231 died in enormous measures. 36:06.230 --> 36:10.470 We've talked about malaria as a housing disease. 36:10.469 --> 36:14.879 Well, also the destruction of housing renders people 36:14.876 --> 36:18.046 vulnerable; if you have to move into tents 36:18.050 --> 36:20.580 or into the open fields to bivouac, 36:20.579 --> 36:24.859 to move from area to area, from cities to the rural areas 36:24.855 --> 36:28.905 and all the rest of it, you become extraordinarily 36:28.905 --> 36:29.855 vulnerable. 36:29.860 --> 36:33.560 And, so, the destruction of housing and the housing stock 36:33.561 --> 36:35.281 was extremely important. 36:35.280 --> 36:40.000 So, there was this tremendous upsurge of malaria during the 36:40.003 --> 36:41.473 First World War. 36:41.469 --> 36:46.819 After the First World War, in 1922, we have a new regime, 36:46.815 --> 36:51.965 and this was the fascist regime of Benito Mussolini. 36:51.969 --> 36:55.609 We won't talk about the conditions that brought 36:55.608 --> 36:59.848 Mussolini to power, but we now have a totalitarian, 36:59.851 --> 37:03.611 one-party dictatorship-- the end of elections, 37:03.606 --> 37:08.226 police repression, violence, the secret police, 37:08.226 --> 37:13.836 and a foreign policy of expansion to restore an empire 37:13.842 --> 37:19.462 and to pursue broad European and African conquest. 37:19.460 --> 37:25.070 By the end of the 1920s, Mussolini is fully in power, 37:25.070 --> 37:28.860 and he institutes some antimalarial measures that 37:28.864 --> 37:32.694 became extremely famous, and he's often thought as a 37:32.693 --> 37:36.143 hero of the antimalarial movement because of what he did 37:36.143 --> 37:39.323 in this area-- the Pontine Marshes--which is 37:39.322 --> 37:42.512 just outside of Rome, and you'll be reading about 37:42.505 --> 37:42.835 that. 37:42.840 --> 37:46.640 This was done, however, for political purposes 37:46.643 --> 37:51.093 more than for medical ones, because the point about the 37:51.094 --> 37:55.494 Pontine Marshes was that only a couple of thousand people lived 37:55.492 --> 37:59.162 there in 1930, and this became the height of 37:59.159 --> 38:02.209 the regime's antimalarial measures, 38:02.210 --> 38:07.780 which were to drain the swamps, to build new housing, 38:07.780 --> 38:10.130 and to settle the land. 38:10.130 --> 38:14.260 But it doesn't actually confront malaria in the parts of 38:14.257 --> 38:18.457 Italy where the most numerous people were getting ill and 38:18.458 --> 38:19.208 dying. 38:19.210 --> 38:25.050 It was an enormous propaganda effort to demonstrate, 38:25.050 --> 38:28.050 more than health, the power of the regime: 38:28.047 --> 38:32.287 that Mussolini could succeed where liberals had failed, 38:32.289 --> 38:34.049 where the popes had failed. 38:34.050 --> 38:39.790 The sorts of measures that were undertaken, this is the kinds of 38:39.793 --> 38:44.263 conditions that he found--the swamp conditions. 38:44.260 --> 38:46.780 I guess I'm overdoing it, but I'm showing you there was 38:46.775 --> 38:49.335 plenty of water and there were plenty of mosquitoes, 38:49.340 --> 38:54.020 and it was estimated that you had an eighty percent chance of 38:54.021 --> 38:58.861 contracting malaria if you spent a single night in this area in 38:58.860 --> 39:01.740 the summer, before the drainage of the 39:01.737 --> 39:02.237 swamps. 39:02.239 --> 39:07.199 Well, this is the construction of something modestly called the 39:07.204 --> 39:10.574 Mussolini Canal, and we'll see also it went 39:10.567 --> 39:13.447 pumping stations, land drainage; 39:13.449 --> 39:15.849 you see canals being constructed; 39:15.849 --> 39:20.859 water being raised to be harmlessly diverted to the sea 39:20.864 --> 39:24.244 went with it as well; the distribution of 39:24.235 --> 39:27.355 quinine--I'm showing quinine being distributed; 39:27.360 --> 39:31.170 education and literacy, and the teaching about the 39:31.168 --> 39:34.818 mosquito theory of transmission--all of that was 39:34.820 --> 39:35.910 important. 39:35.909 --> 39:40.379 We see fascist Boy Scouts learning about larvae and their 39:40.382 --> 39:44.532 collection, and taking that information home to their 39:44.534 --> 39:47.334 families, was part of the idea. 39:47.329 --> 39:49.739 Here they're doing the same thing. 39:49.739 --> 39:51.829 There were sanatoria. 39:51.829 --> 39:55.499 And you see the improved housing. 39:55.500 --> 39:57.020 These are sturdy houses. 39:57.018 --> 40:00.158 They have screened windows and all the rest of it. 40:00.159 --> 40:02.089 You see screens going up. 40:02.090 --> 40:06.670 So, this was really a huge, huge project. 40:06.670 --> 40:12.140 It also included things that weren't so--the building of new 40:12.135 --> 40:12.965 cities. 40:12.969 --> 40:16.689 Suddenly an area that was a swamp, you see modern cities 40:16.686 --> 40:17.426 going up. 40:17.429 --> 40:20.199 The display of power is enormous. 40:20.199 --> 40:26.129 This was really an idea that had as much to do with the power 40:26.126 --> 40:29.876 of the regime as with public health. 40:29.880 --> 40:33.710 I'm not saying that it's my view that fascism is in fact bad 40:33.706 --> 40:36.426 for your health rather than good for it. 40:36.429 --> 40:40.929 Here are some of the propaganda pictures of the first peasant of 40:40.925 --> 40:43.985 Italy here, among his smiling, happy crowds, 40:43.992 --> 40:45.922 and all the rest of it. 40:45.920 --> 40:48.420 So, this was used in that way. 40:48.420 --> 40:53.190 Well then, part of fascism, however, you can't understand 40:53.188 --> 40:57.358 it without its impetus to expansion and to war. 40:57.360 --> 41:02.640 And the Second World War, again, led to a major 41:02.643 --> 41:09.253 destruction and to devastation, repeating even a worse scale 41:09.251 --> 41:13.691 what had happened during the First World War. 41:13.690 --> 41:15.300 So, I won't talk about that. 41:15.300 --> 41:20.790 I won't talk either this morning about a war crime that I 41:20.793 --> 41:25.413 do discuss in the book, that will see the use of 41:25.405 --> 41:29.815 malaria as an instrument of bioterrorism. 41:29.820 --> 41:34.660 But my theme this morning is what are the tools for dealing 41:34.664 --> 41:38.014 with malaria, and the lessons that can be 41:38.007 --> 41:39.007 learned. 41:39.010 --> 41:42.820 And, so, I'd like to look then--with the downfall of 41:42.822 --> 41:47.092 fascism and another terrible upsurge of malaria during the 41:47.085 --> 41:51.445 Second World War, there is a campaign to 41:51.449 --> 41:57.509 eradicate malaria that gets underway 1945-1946, 41:57.510 --> 42:00.740 and succeeds by 1962. 42:00.739 --> 42:04.559 And it's done with Allied cooperation, 42:04.559 --> 42:10.379 the leadership of the Rockefeller Foundation and money 42:10.375 --> 42:15.625 from this country, and it involves the idea of a 42:15.630 --> 42:20.110 powerful new weapon to destroy mosquitoes-- 42:20.110 --> 42:22.000 a technological weapon. 42:22.000 --> 42:28.070 DDT was discovered during the war and is now used as an 42:28.065 --> 42:34.465 instrument, a powerful insecticide, to destroy malaria. 42:34.469 --> 42:40.029 And this is thought, in fact, to be--and becomes--a 42:40.032 --> 42:42.482 premise, if we like. 42:42.480 --> 42:48.580 The lesson is drawn that malaria was eradicated in Italy 42:48.577 --> 42:54.057 after the use of DDT, and so DDT is thought to be the 42:54.056 --> 42:57.506 cause of the destruction of malaria, 42:57.510 --> 42:59.520 the successful campaign. 42:59.518 --> 43:04.358 And this becomes the premise for an international campaign, 43:04.360 --> 43:08.540 a global campaign, of the World Health 43:08.539 --> 43:14.869 Organization from 1955 until 1969 to use DDT worldwide to 43:14.867 --> 43:18.367 eradicate malaria globally. 43:18.369 --> 43:22.199 I want to argue that this is in fact misleading, 43:22.195 --> 43:26.835 because the wrong lessons were drawn from what happened in 43:26.835 --> 43:27.645 Italy. 43:27.650 --> 43:31.740 In actual fact, the eradication after World War 43:31.742 --> 43:37.082 II was possible in part because it marked not only the use of 43:37.079 --> 43:40.219 DDT, but it also meant a massive 43:40.215 --> 43:44.105 investment of American aid to provide food, 43:44.110 --> 43:47.670 clothing, housing and employment, that becomes, 43:47.670 --> 43:51.720 first, UNRA, and then the Marshall Aid Plan. 43:51.719 --> 43:56.419 And so there is an enormous campaign to improve housing and 43:56.423 --> 43:58.293 conditions of people. 43:58.289 --> 44:01.379 In other words, there's a massive social 44:01.378 --> 44:05.258 uplift, if we like, that's going along at the same 44:05.260 --> 44:07.400 time as the use of DDT. 44:07.400 --> 44:10.890 At the same time, you have the reestablishment of 44:10.893 --> 44:14.463 healthcare services and rural health stations, 44:14.460 --> 44:20.060 and the massive distribution of quinine and artificial quinines 44:20.059 --> 44:24.829 developed during the war-- Atabrine and chloroquine. 44:24.829 --> 44:30.379 So, it's not a simple, unidimensional program that 44:30.382 --> 44:31.632 succeeds. 44:31.630 --> 44:37.530 By 1962, Italy becomes malaria-free, 44:37.530 --> 44:41.320 and I think that's one of the factors that led to the 44:41.324 --> 44:44.174 possibility of the economic miracle, 44:44.170 --> 44:47.790 and Italy's becoming after, by our day, 44:47.789 --> 44:50.269 the world's seventh industrial power. 44:50.268 --> 44:55.158 So, there's an amazing measure of hope of what can be done. 44:55.159 --> 45:01.249 When you eradicate malaria, you unleash productivity and 45:01.248 --> 45:02.798 development. 45:02.800 --> 45:07.390 But in addition, this example then becomes the 45:07.385 --> 45:13.395 basis of the post World War II program of global eradication 45:13.396 --> 45:18.996 that believed that it would be possible simply to have a 45:19.001 --> 45:22.971 panacea, a technological intervention 45:22.971 --> 45:26.841 with DDT, and this is an experiment that 45:26.835 --> 45:32.065 by 1969 collapses in failure, and I would like to argue that 45:32.065 --> 45:36.215 this ought to lead us to enormous questions about today's 45:36.217 --> 45:40.517 antimalarial program of the World Health Organization, 45:40.518 --> 45:44.638 Roll Back Malaria, and very often it's thought 45:44.635 --> 45:50.125 that the development of using some sort of magic bullet would 45:50.126 --> 45:51.586 be adequate. 45:51.590 --> 45:55.230 I want to argue that this was partly based on a 45:55.233 --> 45:58.563 misunderstanding of the Italian lesson, 45:58.559 --> 46:01.659 and I think we're dealing with, in our own world, 46:01.659 --> 46:04.429 the consequences of that in the form, 46:04.429 --> 46:10.579 now, of either DDT- or insecticide-treated bed nets as 46:10.581 --> 46:14.761 being the most useful instruments; 46:14.760 --> 46:20.370 and I think the campaign is having enormous difficulties, 46:20.367 --> 46:25.567 and I think we need to think about how we define this 46:25.574 --> 46:31.374 disease--what is its substratum; what conditions promote it; 46:31.369 --> 46:36.929 and what kinds of strategies are effective in combating it. 46:36.929 --> 46:38.499 So, thank you. 46:38.500 --> 46:44.000