ECON 252 (2008) - Lecture 7 - Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology

Lecture 7 - Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology

Overview

Behavioral Finance is a relatively recent revolution in finance that applies insights from all of the social sciences to finance. New decision-making models incorporate psychology and sociology, among other disciplines, to explain economic and financial phenomenon, such as erratic stock price variations. Psychological patterns such as overconfidence and perceived kinks in the value function seem to impact financial decision-making, but are not included in classical theories such as the Expected Utility Theory. Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory addresses such issues and sheds light on irrational deviations from traditional decision-making models.

Resources

application/pdf iconPowerPoint slides from screen - Lecture 7 [PDF]
application/pdf iconProblem Set 3: Stock Market Forecasting Exercise [PDF]

Assignment

Robert Shiller, Irrational Exuberance, chapters 3, 4, 8 and 9

Jeremy Siegel, Stocks for the Long Run, chapter 19

Fisher, Irving. "The Stock Market Panic in 1929." Journal of the American Statistical Association, Proceedings, 25 (169), pp. 93-6, 1930.

Jenter, Dirk, and Fadi Kanaan. "CEO Turnover and Relative Performance Evaluation." NBER Working Paper No. 12068, February 2006.

Problem Set 3

Course Media

Transcript

html

Audio

mp3

Low Bandwidth Video

mov [100MB]

High Bandwidth Video

mov [500MB]